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THE MCLAUGHLIN GROUP
HOST: JOHN MCLAUGHLIN
JOINED BY: TONY BLANKLEY, PATRICK BUCHANAN, ELEANOR CLIFT AND MORTIMER ZUCKERMAN
TAPED: FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 26, 2003 BROADCAST: WEEKEND OF SEPTEMBER 27-28, 2003
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THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. -------------------------
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Issue One: $87 Billion. The Loyal Opposition Speaks.
SENATOR TOM HARKIN (D-IA): (From videotape.) I'm not certain that a lot of this is related to the war. I think it's just, you know, almost like the kitchen sink is thrown in.
SENATOR ERNEST HOLLINGS (D-SC): (From videotape.) We got a Lebanon on our hands. They're going be blowing up each other out there for years on end.
(Being video segment.)
SENATOR DIANNE FEINSTEIN (D-CA): (From videotape.) We want to be good Americans. We want a bipartisan foreign policy. We know the time is tough. We want to be with you. But it's --
DEFENSE SECRETARY DONALD RUMSFELD: Well, I can tell you --
SEN. FEINSTEIN: -- there's a feeling that you know it all, the administration knows it all, and nobody else knows anything, and therefore we're here just to say, "Yes, sir. How high do we jump?" And at some point we refuse to jump.
(End video segment.)
SEC. RUMSFELD: (From videotape.) Is $87 billion a great deal of money? Answer's yes. Can our country afford it? The answer is also yes.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: The secretary's appearance before the Senate on Wednesday turned into a hell hearing, where he faced six hours of skepticism, rancor and anger. The nation is also angry, as polls show.
Question: Why are Congress and the nation being so tough on the Bush administration now, Pat Buchanan?
MR. BUCHANAN: The nation is angry because it was told it was "Mission accomplished," on the Abraham Lincoln. And the nation is angry because every state is in deficit, and we find out we're going to be rebuilding Iraq at the same they're raising taxes and cutting services.
Congress is angry because of buyer's remorse. Many of these Democrats behaved cowardly and timidly, voting for a war in which they disbelieved. And now that vote not only looks cowardly but stupid, because Dean, who opposed the war, is looking good. And so they're now turning on the president, basically to get back at him for what they think he did --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Congress can get out of it, though, Pat. They'll say they were deceived.
MR. BUCHANAN: Well, John, that will not work. The brainwash thing didn't work for Romney. And when you say you're deceived, what you mean is, "I'm able to be fooled." And I don't think many guys will consider that a real winning hand.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Eleanor?
MS. CLIFT: Yeah, I agree if that vote were a secret vote, I don't think that war resolution would have passed.
But the country is angry because they don't think the president has a plan to either extricate us from Iraq or to revive the economy. And the Congress is angry because they know that experts both inside and outside the administration warned this president that going into Iraq could be accomplished, the regime could be toppled, but the
aftermath would cost billions of dollars, would keep us there for years, and would be hard and possibly bloody. And the administration ignored that advice, refused to even put a price tag on what they were doing, and the Congress now feels, correctly, that they were played for fools.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: I notice you've got a piece of paper in your hands. Is that a -- are those gyp notes?
MR. BLANKLEY: These are actually notes. I rarely bring these to the set, but I wanted --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Is this about some member of the set?
MR. BLANKLEY: (Laughs.)
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: (Laughs.)
MR. BLANKLEY: The -- I don't want to be Pollyannish, but the primary reason the public -- and Congress -- is so angry is because they have such a limited and misleading picture of what's happening in Iraq. And that's why I brought this note. Comparing Iraq rebuilding with German, municipal governments were reestablished in Iraq within two months. It took eight months before it happened in Germany after World War II. As far having a cabinet in -- took four months in Iraq, 14 months in Germany after World War II. Having police forces begin to be doing their services: two months in Iraq, 14 months in Germany.
The fact is --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Do you think you have a disparity in orders of magnitude there?
MR. BLANKLEY: Not given how many troops we have --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: I'm talking about Germany vis-a-vis Iraq.
MR. BLANKLEY: Germany was 50 million. This is 25 million. We had a lot more resources in Germany at the end of World War II than we have here.
No, in fact, by any fair measure, there's an extraordinary amount of accomplishment (sic) that have occurred.
Now, yes, there's still violence, and it's still questionable how it's going to work out, but no one gets the picture of anything being done. All they get are the stories of these unfortunate terrorist attacks.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Secretary of State Powell has proposed -- made clear, in fact, in the form of at least a trial balloon, that there ought to be a timetable. And the timetable for the writing of the constitution, which would precede elections, which would precede the formation of a government, which would precede the handing over authority, should take place about six months hence, which brings it up to about March or April.
Is that what you understand, or do you think that that should be the case; the Iraqis ought to have something in front of them that's concrete?
MR. ZUCKERMAN: Well, look, I think that the idea of having the Iraqis write a constitution is a wise idea. How long it should take is another question. And how long after that constitution is in place is an even more important question. The last thing in the world, it seems to me, that we ought to do is to leave prematurely. If we leave prematurely and we get a hostile government in place, that will be a disaster. We'll end up with the worst of all possible worlds. It took seven years to get out of Bosnia. We're in Kosovo four years; we're still not out of Kosovo. Even East Timor took two years, never mind Japan -- it took seven years. This is a really critical issue for the United States. If the war in Iraq was a war of choice, the postwar is a war of necessity. We must follow it out, or else we will not only lose a great deal of our own prestige, but we will create so much enthusiasm and momentum for the terrorists that it will be a disaster for this country.
MR. BUCHANAN: Well, Mort --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Is it not true that the test, the final norm for withdrawal on our part, ought to be whether or not Iraq can maintain its national territorial borders, its integrity?
MR. ZUCKERMAN: No, I --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Meaning that if there is a power vacuum there, you run a threat from Iran, perhaps, renewing what it tried to do earlier: move in there, or some other phenomenon, like the influx of terrorists, who are already flowing in there, or some movement on someone else's part.
MR. ZUCKERMAN: Look, there's --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: We don't want a power vacuum. It's in our interest to prevent that. Is that the ultimate criteria?
MR. ZUCKERMAN: No, that is not the ultimate criteria. You want to make sure that the government of Iraq is not taken over by the strong and the corrupt and the ruthless, who will then turn and finance God knows what with the oil wealth that that country has.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: All right. Now, you know that --
MR. ZUCKERMAN: We do not want that to happen.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: -- to maintain --
MR. ZUCKERMAN: We do not want to have a hostile government in Iraq after what we've just done.
MS. CLIFT: But you also --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: All right. To maintain security is essential to prevent a strongman from moving in or to prevent a power vacuum, which would lead to all manners of evil, which would create a massive increase in terrorism, correct?
MS. CLIFT: Yeah. You also -- you --
MR. ZUCKERMAN: It takes time to build from the bottom up.
MR. BUCHANAN: You know, all this is moot!
MS. CLIFT: You also -- you also --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: I understand -- (inaudible) -- you have to maintain the security, and we're the only ones doing that.
MR. ZUCKERMAN: Yes. Correct.
MS. CLIFT: You also --
MR. BUCHANAN: It is all moot. I'll tell you why. Look, if what you say is true, the president of the United States should get up there and say it. If this takes five years or 10 years or 300,000 or 500,000 guys, we're going to do it. He's not saying that. Rumsfeld is on the way out. The president clearly has an exit strategy here. He's gone to the U.N. We need international troops. Nobody wants more American troops, Mort. The thing is, he is going to take that risk. And if he doesn't take it, he's taking a risk with his presidency.
MS. CLIFT: You also don't --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: And he's added to that a timetable. The timetable is --
MR. BUCHANAN: Sure.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: -- spring, we'll have the constitution; June will be the elections; July, there will be a government; and August, they will transfer the power --
MS. CLIFT: All right, that's --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: -- and September, we begin the withdrawal of troops.
MR. BUCHANAN: They're coming out.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: So, he's all set up for what? November. Now the troops are coming out.
MR. BUCHANAN: Not only that, John; he's -- look, he can't sustain -- Tony's right. We're losing five guys a week there. We lost 150 Vietnam. America won't sustain casualties that way now.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Eleanor?
MS. CLIFT: Yeah. You talked about you don't want a strongman coming in to Iraq. You don't want one coming in Washington, either, because a Democrat might win if this course continues as it is currently proceeding. And there's the timetable they tell you about for the constitution. There's a timetable they don't tell you about; and informally, what you're hearing from military sources now is that the White House has let the Pentagon know: No more American deaths after March. How do they do that? They garrison the troops so they don't get out anywhere, and you begin to bring them home. And I think that's what's going to happen.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: I was surprised that you didn't point out in that previous sound bite that those are all Democrats, and therefore, they didn't speak for Congress. Is that your feeling?
MR. BLANKLEY: No, no. There are Republicans who --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: There are Republicans. I'm glad you brought it up.
Okay, it's not just Democrats. (Laughter.)
REP. CHRISTOPHER SHAYS (R-CT): (From videotape.) We gave the president the authority to go into Iraq ... we've given Donald Rumsfeld almost a blank check. And I think, frankly, he's shown too much hubris. He hasn't wanted to cooperate with Congress to the extent I think he should; I don't even think he's cooperated with OMB.
That's where you have the control of the executive branch, and they yet don't have numbers yet on what he spent money on, what he intends to spend it on; what's the one-year plan, the five-year plan.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Question: Is Shays right? Has Rumsfeld been vague about money?
Eleanor Clift?
MS. CLIFT: Of course he has, and so has the president, because they didn't want to put a price tag on the war and the aftermath because it would interfere with the tax cuts. This is the first president who has taken us to war and also cut taxes.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Well, Eleanor, they did put a price tag on it. It was $50 (billion) to $60 billion; do you remember that? Now, it's $166 billion. So, Larry Lindsey looks like he was --
MS. CLIFT: That was -- (word inaudible). And they fired --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Larry Lindsey looks like he was right; between $100 (billion) and $200 billion.
MR. BUCHANAN: (Inaudible) -- on the mark.
MS. CLIFT: They fired the guy who put the higher price tag on it.
MR. ZUCKERMAN: Yes. Look --
MS. CLIFT: But listen. For all this kvetching, the Democrats are going to support this. Congress is going to vote this, because there is no exit at the moment.
MR. BUCHANAN: Sure.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Okay. Time will tell.
(Begin video segment.)
SEN. ROBERT BENNETT (R-UT): And in the early days of Vietnam, everything was going well. Your predecessor, Secretary McNamara, had the Congress absolutely convinced that everything was wonderful.
So, Mr. Secretary, I hope you do not become McNamara. I hope you do not give us rosy scenarios that can't possibly play out. I hope you remain as candid and blunt as you possibly can be.
SEC. RUMSFELD: I have bent over backwards trying to be as forthright and candid and accurate and balanced in how I've characterized what's taking place.
SEN. BENNETT: Thank you.
SEC. RUMSFELD: I guess time will tell.
(End video segment.)
MS. CLIFT: Whoa.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Question: What does Rumsfeld have in common with McNamara, besides a bad haircut, Tony?
MR. BLANKLEY: Almost nothing, other than they were both secretaries of Defense. We all here remember Rumsfeld's mechanical, inhuman, mathematical calculations --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: You mean McNamara's.
MR. BLANKLEY: McNamara's. Rumsfeld has, from the beginning -- just take his public statements -- has shown his humanity. He's identified all the things he was worried about before the war. Remember his list? He told us he had a long list of all the things that could go wrong. McNamara never had a list of things that could go wrong. He said it was all going to go right. They're opposite, as far as secretaries of Defense.
MS. CLIFT: I don't think he shared any of those --
(Cross talk.)
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Eleanor.
MS. CLIFT: I don't think he shared any of those concerns.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: He did share them.
MS. CLIFT: No, that was the first moment of ambivalence I have seen in the secretary of Defense.
MR. BUCHANAN: But, you know --
MS. CLIFT: And I must say the administration no longer exudes the certainty it did, even just a few months ago.
MR. BUCHANAN: But, John --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Let her finish.
Go ahead. Do you want to make a point?
MR. BUCHANAN: John, Rumsfeld is already under attack by the neoconservatives because Rumsfeld has said he wants these troops moving out.
Look, people that think that Rumsfeld is an ideologue or working the computers and he thinks that's going to win, this man is a very capable politician; three times elected to Congress; maneuvered around the bureaucracy. He's much more flexible and able than McNamara was. Tony's dead right.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: You mean he knows where things are moving in the country and everywhere?
MR. BUCHANAN: McNamara was an automaton.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Yeah, but he's exactly like McNamara in one sense -- his unshakable faith in his own judgment, and his unshakable, almost reprehensible self-assuredness.
MR. ZUCKERMAN: But let me just say one other thing. In Vietnam, we had 500,000 troops. We Americanized the war. We undercut the Vietnamese.
Here we are trying to get fewer American boots on the ground, so to speak. The general in command said we want fewer American boots, we want more Iraqi boots. They understand they're going to turn as much of the security as they can over to the Iraqis. What he said is we don't need more troops, we need better intelligence. They're going at it a completely different way from Vietnam. This is not Vietnam.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: It took McNamara 30 years to accept the fact that he had made a mistake, and he wrote a mea culpa book. How long will it take Rumsfeld to realize he made a mistake?
MR. BLANKLEY: As soon as we find out it is a mistake. And as he said, time will tell.
MR. BUCHANAN: Never. Never.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Never?
MR. BUCHANAN: He's not going to -- neither will the president. The president believes he was right.
MR. : Absolutely, the president's right.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Okay, well, maybe this will change his mind -- the Bush ratings drop. He's now at his lowest of his presidency -- 49 percent. A year ago, Mr. Bush's job approval was 64 percent.
Do you want to exegete that away also, Tony?
MR. BUCHANAN: (Laughs.)
MR. BLANKLEY: Yeah, look, I was in the Reagan White House in '83. I think Pat may have been there about the same time. At that point, Reagan was running behind Mondale in the poll. And the great fear -- and I had a little piece in expressing this fear in a memo --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: What's the name of that paper?
MR. BLANKLEY: No, this is the Reagan White House, 1983.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Oh, I see.
MR. BLANKLEY: We were afraid that "The Right Stuff" movie with John Glenn was going to vault him up into a formidable candidacy.
So, the year before an election is very often a nervous period for a White House, and it should be for this one, and they are.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Well, the third year of the first term for any president is a horrible year.
Yes?
MR. BUCHANAN: Bush is stronger now than Reagan was and than Nixon was, and Reagan and Nixon each won 49 states.
MS. CLIFT: Yeah! (Laughs.)
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Exit: Can Congress unload blame for giving Bush an Iraq blank check by saying that they were misled, even deceived?
Eleanor has already touched on this.
Pat?
MR. BUCHANAN: No, they cannot, for the simple reason that Teddy Kennedy and Bobby Byrd and Kucinich and Howard Dean and some members of this panel opposed giving the president a blank check. The Democrats that did, behaved out of cowardice. And Eleanor is right, if it had been a secret vote, they probably would have voted against it.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Eleanor.
MS. CLIFT: And they're going to vote for the $87 billion, and they're going to get heat for that because they are now in this with Bush; they're going to share the blame in the eyes of the American people.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Is that right?
What do you think?
MR. BLANKLEY: Or they may share the credit at the end of the process. I mean, you are just completely defeatist. If this works out well, you're going to see Democratic and Republican congressmen next year campaigning saying, "I voted the president the money to rebuild Iraq." So, it could go either way. I'm not predicting one or the other.
MS. CLIFT: Oh! I'm sure you're not! (Laughs.)
MR. BLANKLEY: But it could as easily go that way, and probably more so.
MS. CLIFT: I don't think as easily.
MR. ZUCKERMAN: I do think that the sticker shock of the $87 billion is really having a big impact at the moment. And the question -- whether or not I think the Democrats will vote in favor of it, I don't see how they can get out of it.
On the other hand, as you say, a lot's going to depend over what happens in the next year and how things go in Iraq. I'm more optimistic about Iraq, for example, than I am about the economy.
So I think Bush is going to be in trouble because he's got two thing going against him. Not just Iraq, but more than anything else, the economy is going against him at this point, and has been for three years.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: The answer is that Bush will take the bigger rap.
When we come back: Arnold debuts in a California debate. With the election barely 10 days away, who's got the "mo"?
(Announcements.)
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Issue two: Hit Me With Your Best Shot.
(Music: Pat Benatar's performance of "Hit Me with Your Best Shot," played over footage of candidates in the California gubernatorial race.)
(Begin video segment.)
ARIANNA HUFFINGTON (gubernatorial candidate, I-CA): And who is going to fight the administration when they are basically costing us jobs? And it's completely hypocritical of Arnold to come here --
ARNOLD SCHWARZENEGGER (gubernatorial candidate, R-CA): Arianna, we're talking about the car tax right now and not about education.
MS. HUFFINGTON: Let me finish. Let me finish.
MR. SCHWARZENEGGER: And whenever we get to the -- we get to --
MS. HUFFINGTON: You know, this is completely impolite. This is the way you treat women; we know that. But not now.
MS. SCHWARZENEGGER: I just realized that I have a perfect part for you in "Terminator 4." (Laughter, applause.)
MODERATOR: Lady, gentlemen! You know, I am a traffic cop.
(End video segment.)
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: The "Terminator" star took part in his first -- and last, he says -- debate this week. It's all systems go, now that
the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals overturned the earlier three-judge panel ruling that the recall should be postponed until March. The recall election is now definitely slated to take place on October the 7th, one week from Tuesday.
State Senator Tom McClintock stayed above the fray and stressed his conservatism.
SENATOR TOM MCCLINTOCK (gubernatorial candidate, R-CA): (From videotape.) I am the only candidate at this table who has signed a no-tax pledge. I'm the only candidate who supports the entire Bill of Rights, including our Second Amendment.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: And Lieutenant Governor Cruz Bustamante stressed his liberalism.
LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR CRUZ BUSTAMANTE (gubernatorial candidate, D- CA): (From videotape.) In that plan, I raise tobacco taxes, I raise alcohol taxes, I raise the upper income tax bracket on the largest and the highest 4 percent of all Californians.
I actually agree with Peter about universal health care.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: But Mr. Schwarzenegger was having none of it.
MR. SCHWARZENEGGER: (From videotape.) What Cruz is suggesting, that they gain -- they do have health care and have the companies pay for it, they cannot do it right now.
I am the only one here that has run businesses.
It's easy for you to sit there, because you are only used to signing the check in the back, but not on the front. You've never signed a check --
(Laughter.)
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Question: Did Arnold hurt his standing with female voters, Eleanor Clift?
MS. CLIFT: Well, I thought he was incredibly patronizing towards Arianna. But she knows how to handle herself, so it's hard -- I don't really feel sorry for her either.
I thought he hurt himself with all voters, because he really missed an opportunity. What does Arnold Schwarzenegger stand for except tired old lines from his movies? He really had an opportunity to put forth his big, bold plan for California, and he didn't do it. I think if the trend line holds, Gray Davis may well pull on out --
MR. BLANKLEY: There you go again, Eleanor! There you go again! (Laughter, cross talk.)
MS. CLIFT: You all loved him.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Do you want --
MR. BUCHANAN: He wiped up the floor with everybody!
MS. CLIFT: Oh, please.
MR. BUCHANAN: He showed humor! The polls show he won the debate and McClintock came in second. Arianna was -- 57 percent thought she was terrible! He used her as a foil! I mean, frankly, he has the momentum now to win this thing, as a consequence of that debate, and there's tremendous pressure, because of that debate, on McClintock to move aside.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Or pull out.
MR. BUCHANAN: Well, he can't pull out now. His word is too solid out there.
MS. CLIFT: Well, how does --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: No politician's word is that -- too solid, under any circumstances. It's a metaphysical impossibility.
MR. BUCHANAN: Some guys will go over the cliff with flags flying, John. (Laughs.)
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Don't you think that Arnold is too much "Conan the Barbarian" and not enough "Kindergarten Cops" (sic)?
MS. CLIFT: (Chuckles.)
MR. BUCHANAN: Male guys watching TV love feminists being pounded, especially Arianna --
(Laughter.)
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: There is no -- there's no question about it; this guy is a --
MS. CLIFT: That's the secret to your success, right, Pat? (Laughs.) Right.
MR. ZUCKERMAN: The one clear winner in this thing, too, it seems to me, is Davis. I mean, this is a circus beyond belief.
MR. BLANKLEY: Oh, I disagree.
MR. BUCHANAN: And you are -- Davis is sinking like a stone. He challenged Arnold to a debate.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Yes.
MR. BUCHANAN: If you're the governor and you challenge Arnold to a debate, you're losing.
MS. CLIFT: No --
MR. BLANKLEY: No, I --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Is Bustamante still leading, as the Los Angeles Times poll says?
MR. BUCHANAN: We'll find out Monday. My guess is, Arnold will be ahead.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Does it oversample Latinos and blacks?
MR. BUCHANAN: Well, I mean, if it's a Field Poll, probably does.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: No, the Field Poll does not. The L.A. Times poll does. That's my understanding. You figure that out, Pat, and report next week. (Laughter.)
Yes?
MR. BLANKLEY: Yeah. I was just going to make a point about -- I think that the reason the debate helped -- hurt Davis is because it reenergized the electorate that had been kind of depressed after the 9th Circuit decision. So I disagree with you. I think this hurt Davis.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Okay. We all agree that going into the next week of campaigning, the final week before -- a week from Tuesday's election, the man who -- the candidate who has the big "mo" is Arnold Schwarzenegger, do we not? Okay, let's move on.
MS. CLIFT: No, I don't agree. (Laughter.) I'm the gender gap!
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: One exception. You're out there by yourself.
MS. CLIFT: Okay.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: You're out there by yourself.
MS. CLIFT: All right.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Let's move on.
Issue three: And then there were 10.
GENERAL WESLEY CLARK (U.S. Army, retired): (From videotape.) We elected a president we thought was a compassionate conservative. Instead we got neither conservatism nor compassion. We got a man who recklessly cut taxes. We got a man who recklessly took us into war with Iraq.
I've got a better job plan in eight days than George Bush had in three years in this country.
I am pro-choice. I am pro-affirmative action. I'm pro- environment, pro-health. I believe the United States should engage with allies. We should be a good player in the international community, and we should use force only as a last resort. That's why I'm proud to be a Democrat.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: In New York this week at Pace University, General Wesley Clark joined the nine other Democrats in his debut debate.
Question: Did Wesley Clark score a touchdown? I ask you, Tony Blankley.
MR. BLANKLEY: No, I think he barely moved down the field at all. He --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Well, you heard what he said. He said he's pro- health.
MR. BLANKLEY: (Chuckling.) I know. (Laughter.)
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: He's also pro-environment.
MR. BLANKLEY: Yeah, I mean, it was the minimum necessary to be plausible as a presidential contender. The fact that -- to have to make the excuse that I haven't had a chance to think about what my position is on one issue after the other strikes me as not helpful.
But I'll tell you the most interesting evidence of, I think, supporting my view. The -- is the other candidates didn't go after him. They went after Dean, because they know that Dean's the front- runner, notwithstanding this bubble --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: No, that's one reason why they didn't go after Dean (sic). What's another reason why?
MR. ZUCKERMAN: Well, I mean, I do think that why they went -- they went after Dean. Dean was the pinata. Dean was the pinata at this whole thing.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Oh, excuse me. Why they did not go after Wesley Clark.
MR. ZUCKERMAN: Well, because I think Wesley Clark, frankly, is one of the few people in that party who speaks to the issue that is really critical, which is how do they pose a security strength, as a political issue, against Bush? And Wes Clark is the only one who gives them that credibility.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Eleanor?
MS. CLIFT: They didn't go after him because they're waiting to see if he self-destructs or he fades.
MR. BUCHANAN: Right.
MS. CLIFT: I mean, he's still a question mark. Can he live up to his resume?
MR. BUCHANAN: John --
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: The reason why is they don't know what to do with him yet.
MR. BLANKLEY: Oh! Everybody knows what to do with him.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Also, they don't want to build him, because they feel, as we all feel, that he got excessive publicity last week. Is that true or false? The press helped to build Wesley Clark.
(Cross talk.)
MS. CLIFT: Well, he answers a yearning in the country and in the Democratic Party.
MR. ZUCKERMAN: Right. Right.
MR. BUCHANAN: John, this --
MS. CLIFT: And his resume is brilliant. Can he live up to his --
(Cross talk.)
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: He did not engage them, and they did not engage him. He was AWOL. He was on duty by reason of his being present -- that's all -- in that debate.
MR. BUCHANAN: No, no. They did not engage him --
MR. BLANKLEY: You're absolutely right.
MR. BUCHANAN: They did not engage him because they don't see him as a threat.
MS. CLIFT: Well --
MR. BUCHANAN: And he succeeded in the debate simply because he did not throw an interception.
MS. CLIFT: Right.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Okay. The focus --
MR. BUCHANAN: They were looking for a turnover.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Okay. The focus of the attacks.
The debates show that the insiders still fear Howard Dean, not Wesley Clark. It is Dean who is the front-runner. So, Dick Gephardt, of "George Bush is a miserable failure!" fame, took out the box cutter again. (Laughter.)
(Begin video segment.)
REP. RICHARD GEPHARDT (D-MO): At our darkest hour, when I was leading the fight against Newt Gingrich and the Contract With America, he was shutting the government down -- Howard, you were agreeing with the very plan that Newt Gingrich wanted to pass, which was a $270 billion cut in Medicare. Now, you've been saying for many months that you're the head of the Democratic wing of the Democratic Party. I think you're just winging it.
HOWARD DEAN: That is flat-out false, and I'm ashamed that you would compare me with Newt Gingrich. Nobody up here deserves to be compared to Newt Gingrich. (Applause.)
(End video segment.)
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Question: Okay, Tony, do you think Howard Dean should be compared to newt Gingrich?
MR. BLANKLEY: Well, look, I know Newt Gingrich; Newt Gingrich is a friend of mine. (Laughter.) And Howard Dean is no Newt Gingrich. (Laughter.)
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: How long did you work for Newt Gingrich?
MR. BLANKLEY: Seven years.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Seven years?
MR. BLANKLEY: Seven wonderful years.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: What did you do for him?
MR. BLANKLEY: (Laughing.) Not enough, apparently. (Laughter.)
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: But what did you do?
MR. BLANKLEY: I was his press secretary.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: You were his press secretary. Were you his friend?
MR. BLANKLEY: I was his friend. We still are, yeah.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: And you hold him in high regard?
MR. BLANKLEY: I do. Look, the fact is that all these attacks on Dean aren't working. He's slipping and sliding right off them. And I think he walked out of that debate completely unbloodied.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Do we all agree on that?
MR. BUCHANAN: Yep.
MS. CLIFT: I agree with that.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: I think we all agree on that.
MS. CLIFT: Oh, yes.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: We'll be right back with predictions.
(Announcements.)
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Predictions. Pat?
MR. BUCHANAN: Tom McClintock will not get out of the California race, but if the polls show Arnold surging up to where Bustamante is, he will give indications that it's acceptable for his people to go to defeat the Democratic Party, Bustamante and Davis.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Let's hope that they go to Arnold and don't sit at home.
MS. CLIFT: The effort to split off the money for Iraq reconstruction from the money to support the troops will fail. It's a package deal.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Tony?
MR. BLANKLEY: Major asbestos reform legislation will pass, and it's going to create tens of thousands of jobs.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: You're repeating an older prediction; you know that.
Mort?
MR. ZUCKERMAN: Interest rates will remain low well into next year. But alas, it means that the economy is going to be weaker next year than most people expect.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Geoffrey Hoon, the Rumsfeld of Great Britain, will be sacked by Tony Blair shortly.
Happy Rosh Hashanah. Gut Yomtov. Bye-bye.
PBS SEGMENT
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Issue four: Don't be afraid to just call me.
REP. JOHN DINGELL (D-MI): (From videotape.) The American people do not want these miserable calls. They regard them as a particular annoyance when they're eating dinner. And as I have observed earlier, they are as popular as a skunk at a church picnic.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Telemarketers are the skunks. Over the past several months, 50 million Americans signed up for the Federal Trade Commission's "do-not-call" registry. People on that list chose not to have their homes invaded by infuriating telemarketer phone calls.
But a federal judge in Oklahoma ruled this week that Congress and the FCC do not have the authority to implement such a list. So, on Thursday the House and the Senate sprang into life and immediately voted to override the judge's ruling. The Senate vote reinstituting the "do-not-call-me" list was 95 to zero. The House was 412 to eight. (Laughter.) Also, a second federal judge, by the way, stayed the list, upholding the telemarket. The FTC is going to appeal.
Question: What happens now?
Tony?
MR. BLANKLEY: Well, the president will sign the congressional bill. That solves the problem from the first court. The second court opinion was based on constitutional grounds and cannot be fixed by statute, and so that's going to have to be appealed up to the higher court.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Tony, it can be fixed by statute; i.e., change the statute. What the Congress can do to avert this judicial invasion or insertion of itself is rule-in charitable institutions and rule-in political calls so that there are no exceptions. Right now the problem emanates from trying to split off commercial calls from charitable and political calls.
MR. BLANKLEY: Yeah, but they're not going to do that. They have to allow churches to be able to call their parishioners.
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: They don't have to do that. There's such a thing as direct mail.
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